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While atmospheric conditions have now become too hostile for tropical storm formation over much of the Atlantic basin, conditions over the western Caribbean may harbor development toward the end of October.
The combination of dry air, dust and strong westerly and/or southerly winds aloft will inhibit tropical storm formation over much of the Atlantic in the coming days.
However, over the far southwestern end of the Atlantic basin, or the western Caribbean Sea some of the ingredients necessary to spawn a tropical depression or storm may come together late this week and during the last weekend of October.
In the western Caribbean, waters remain very warm and winds aloft are rather light, compared to much of the balance of the Atlantic basin, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.
The area is one of several zones where tropical storms typically spin up during late October and November.
“A tropical disturbance, currently over the south-central Atlantic is scheduled to reach the western Caribbean by the end of the week,” Pydynowski said. “This may help spin up a tropical depression or storm.”
In addition to these conditions, a non-tropical feature may join in late next week.
The leading edge of much cooler and less humid air, now crossing the southern United States, will push across the Gulf of Mexico this week and into the western Caribbean late in the week.
Sometimes a temperature and humidity boundary, such as this, can also help to spin up a tropical storm.
Interests from Central America and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula to Cuba, the Florida Peninsula, the Bahamas, Hispaniola and Puerto Rico should monitor the tropical weather for the potential for increasing winds, seas and gusty thunderstorms in the coming days.
Even in lieu of a strong tropical storm or hurricane, torrential…
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